Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.519152 0.607403 0.703868 0.816847 0.945228 1.086256 1.252575
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.392366 0.512773 0.656958 0.840994 1.068172 1.337841 1.680437
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.303748 0.437149 0.609904 0.846892 1.159942 1.555321 2.087802
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.232010 0.364741 0.549231 0.818989 1.196885 1.700030 2.411569
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.196579 0.333456 0.535504 0.847098 1.305158 1.941603 2.877389
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.167686 0.305256 0.519857 0.867131 1.400034 2.168738 3.337887
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.151555 0.293624 0.526195 0.918473 1.542802 2.472195 3.926112
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.128049 0.264808 0.500166 0.914343 1.598289 2.649013 4.339290
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.107560 0.237220 0.471524 0.901042 1.635669 2.798261 4.717953
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.091454 0.214626 0.447838 0.892159 1.677417 2.954712 5.114896
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.081422 0.202131 0.440438 0.910242 1.764735 3.188202 5.645859
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.072320 0.189778 0.431346 0.923585 1.843884 3.412164 6.173252
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.063231 0.175966 0.417979 0.928325 1.909871 3.621681 6.695723
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.056219 0.165568 0.410132 0.942841 1.994920 3.869632 7.298351
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049153 0.153507 0.396913 0.944828 2.056178 4.079508 7.847855
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.040751 0.136004 0.368882 0.912545 2.048000 4.164128 8.183529
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.037485 0.131651 0.370266 0.942815 2.165001 4.482616 8.949003
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034079 0.126118 0.367979 0.964572 2.266190 4.777332 9.686562
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.032781 0.126596 0.380485 1.020777 2.442245 5.222325 10.719191
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.028710 0.117458 0.367298 1.016219 2.490325 5.425556 11.315773
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.024767 0.107655 0.350759 1.001631 2.515266 5.584607 11.836775
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021548 0.099395 0.336981 0.991889 2.549367 5.762606 12.400916
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.019717 0.095636 0.335191 1.011708 2.650545 6.079867 13.246763